Blogging and community contributors will peak in the first half of 2007. Given the trend in the average life span of a blogger and the current growth rate of blogs, there are already more than 200 million ex-bloggers. Consequently, the peak number of bloggers will be around 100 million at some point in the first half of 2007.

Gartner has posted some research on predictions for the future. The problem with this estimate is that the concept of ‘blog’ continues to develop over time and there are already a lot of similar forms of one-to-many communications taking place on the internet that is not tracked or considered a blog even though they serve the same purpose and have a similar form. If anything the need for communication has always existed and people will continue to embrace and use new ways of communication as long as it has a potential to reach more people than the traditional ones did. 100 million blogs only? Probably a lot more.

This entry was posted on Monday, December 18th, 2006 at 10:08 and is filed under On the web. . You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.